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Assembly Elections: Exit Poll Predict Split Verdict In States, Big Gain To Congress

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| December 8 , 2018 , 14:43 IST

Exit polls released on Friday predicted clear wins for the Congress in Rajasthan and TRS in Telangana and a hung assembly in Mizoram but presented a confused picture in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.

The polls in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are almost a direct contest between the Congress and the BJP. In Telangana, the TRS is looking to serve another term but is facing stiff resistance from the Congress-led alliance with the Telugu Desam Party, Communist Party of India, and Telangana Jana Samithi.

Barring one (conducted by Republic-Jan Ki Baat) all other surveys point to Vasundhara Raje’s exit. In the 200-seat Assembly where halfway mark is set at 101, Times Now-CNX has predicted 105 seats for the Congress and 85 for the incumbent BJP.

India Today-Axis reckons Congress will win anything between 119-141 seats and BJP will settle for a figure between 55 and 72. Republic-Jan ki Baat is the outlier, giving BJP 83-103 seats, the Congress 81-101 and others five seats.

In Madhya Pradesh, Times Now-CNX gives BJP a clear majority with 126 of the 230 seats in the fray where the majority mark is set at 116. However, India Today-Axis My India predicts BJP picking up between 102-120, the Congress claiming 104-122 seats and others settling for 4-11 seats.

Republic-CVoter brings no joy for BJP either. The saffron unit is predicted to get between 90-106 seats while Congress around 110-126.

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Finally, in Chhattisgarh, Times Now-CNX forecasts 46 seats for BJP (just achieving the majority mark) in the 90-seat House while Congress is slated to get 35. India Today-Axis, on the other hand, gives Congress between 55-60 and BJP a paltry 21-31 and eight for the JCC-BSP alliance indicating that Raman Singh’s tenure is over.

However, the Republic-CVoter survey says BJP will get between 35-43 seats and Congress between 40-50. If that’s not confusing enough, News Nation expects BJP to get around 38- 42 and Congress 40- 44. Republic-CVoter has given the Congress 42-50 seats, BJP 35-43 and the BSP-JCC combine three to seven.